Open access
Date
2012-01Type
- Working Paper
ETH Bibliography
yes
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Abstract
The Doha multilateral round of trade negotiations sponsored by the WTO has been dragging on for over a decade, with no end in sight. In this short paper we assess empirically what determines the duration of trade negotiations, focusing on the span between the start of trade talks and their conclusion. We use data from 88 regional trade agreements between 1988 and 2009, and a semi-parametric Cox proportional hazards model. Four factors are robust determinants of the length of RTA negotiations. Negotiations are more protracted when there are more countries at the negotiation table, and when the countries are not from the same region. Negotiations between more open and richer countries are also finished more quickly. Show more
Permanent link
https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-a-006844132Publication status
publishedJournal / series
KOF Working PapersVolume
Publisher
KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH ZurichSubject
ZEITDAUER, ZEITSPANNEN, PERIODEN; GATT + WTO + ZOLLTARIFABKOMMEN (HANDEL); TRADE AGREEMENTS + GATT + WTO (TRADE); Survival; EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF MODELS (SOCIAL SCIENCES); Regional; GATT; Income; NEGOTIATIONS + MEDIATION (INTERNATIONAL POLITICS); EMPIRISCHE ANALYSE VON MODELLEN (SOZIALWISSENSCHAFTEN); Data; VERHANDLUNGEN + MEDIATION (INTERNATIONALE POLITIK); MARKT + HANDEL+ KOMMERZ; WTO; Duration; Cox; MARKET + TRADE + COMMERCE; DURATION; EmpiricalOrganisational unit
03716 - Sturm, Jan-Egbert / Sturm, Jan-Egbert
02525 - KOF Konjunkturforschungsstelle / KOF Swiss Economic Institute
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Is previous version of: http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11850/61695
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ETH Bibliography
yes
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